Its now almost May and as the weather is getting warm we have 2 things we can be happy about. Covid deaths are declining which is the best news for sure. But we are also ending one of the worst flu seasons on record.
As per the CDC 60K+ deaths were expected from October until now, no not from covid from but from the average seasonal flu. Now before you get in a tizzy, covid and the flu are very different, as per current data one slightly more lethal than the other. We understand the flu which makes it familiar, covid being new put us on edge and understandably so.
But as we look at the data that proved all the models drastically wrong, we can go back and evaluate past decisions with lessons learned. We know as fact the first KNOWN case in the US was February 9, meaning that person was infected sometime in mid to late January. But when was the infector infected, was it here or abroad? The answer to that is critical to understand the leathility of the virus.
Many including myself suffered a bad case of what we believed was the flu in mid to late December. Was it covid? We'll never know even with testing. So using these facts one could safely say covid ran free and unrestricted here for at least 2 months. Despite all the models and predictions of no social distancing deaths being in the millions, there were no overcrowded hospitals or out of controlled deaths. It was flu season after all and the medical community was ready as they were every year.
Now fast forward to late March when the government and media riled up a scare, painting covid as if your survival chance was 3.6% instead of 96.4 . Once again before you get in a tizzy no one is trivializing covid deaths. People died from it and that's a fact but one has to question the data.
The CDC and local authorities started to count suspected deaths as covid, at the same time we were in the height of a deadly flu season. A life is a life may will emotionally say but science is not about emotion. How can we truly tell the lethality of covid or this years flu if the method we use to designate either isn't accurate in any way? This is important should covid resurface again so the appropriate measures can be taken.
There are conspiracy theories out there I won't even begin to entertain. But as we look at the data I think we can all say the experts got it drastically wrong. Many will cry Monday morning QB and they would be partially right, if not for the glaring manipulation of data that any one willing to read will see.