"(Reuters) - The U.S. death toll from the coronavirus outbreak could exceed 74,000 by August, according to the University of Washington’s predictive model, often cited by White House officials and state public health authorities."
U.S. coronavirus deaths projected at over 74,000 by August - Reuters.com
Often sited by White House Officials hmmmm, lets think about that.
Back in what seemed like ages ago those same officials models said we should expect millions of death, remember that? Sure you may say social distancing made a difference, but we know as fact the virus was lose in the US for at minimum 2 months before we even began that. According to those models, whe should have had hundreds of thousands of deaths in that time.
Then there was the model that predicted the nation was going to see a surge of deaths only to be proven wrong once again with a nationwide decline. Now don't get me wrong, 74,000 wouldn't be bad but the problem is we are calculating off a flawed baseline.
Are these models representative of confirmed cases or are suspected cases included as well? Over a million people die for various reasons throughout the year, lets look at some of the numbers:
Top 10 Causes of Death in America - USNews.com
Kidney Disease Number of Deaths: 51,386
Influenza and Pneumonia Number of Deaths: 59,120
Diabetes Number of Deaths: 84,946
Alzheimer's Disease Number of Deaths: 122,019
Cerebrovascular Diseases Number of Deaths: 147,810
hronic Lower Respiratory Diseases Number of Deaths: 159,486
Accidents/Unintentional Injuries Number of Deaths: 167,127
Cancer Number of Deaths: 599,274
Heart Disease Number of Deaths: 655,381
Thats a lot of ways to die. So while 74k dead by August from covid may seem horrible, one has to wonder if under the current method of calculation, are the numbers are accurate at all.